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Not convinced by Stephen Timms' MP reference to OBR predictions

  • Heisenberg
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22 hours 33 minutes ago #305909 by Heisenberg
Stephen Timms MP states as follows:

"After taking into account behavioural changes, the OBR predicts that 9 in 10 of those receiving the PIP daily living component at the point that any changes come into effect will still be receiving PIP by the end of the decade.":

www.theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2025-06-02.56150.h

Does anyone know the precise report he is referring to? I am sceptical given that, based on current DWP caseload data, out of the 1,283,000 standard daily living awards, 87% (1,116,000) get fewer than 4 points in all activities:

www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/personal_...i_7#incoming-2989270

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19 hours 35 minutes ago #305919 by BIS
Hi Heisenberg

There's a link to it in that article - Spring Statement 2025 health and disability benefit reforms - Impacts

BIS

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  • Heisenberg
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19 hours ago #305925 by Heisenberg
That is a document drafted by the DWP, or are you suggesting that there is a link to the respective OBR findings in the document?

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15 hours 51 minutes ago #305939 by BIS
Hi Heisenberg

This issue is outside the remit of this forum. From that article, there is a direct link to the OBR and its findings and you can see if it has the specific date you're interested in. obr.uk/forecasts-in-depth/policy/

BIS

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